Bloom Energy stock has slumped sharply in recent weeks, falling from its year-to-date high of $350 to around $200. The stock has declined for seven consecutive sessions, reaching its lowest level since August 3. Its technical indicators suggest that further downside may be ahead, while persistent valuation concerns continue to weigh on investor sentiment.
Bloom Energy is growing, but valuation risks persist
Bloom Energy has become one of the fastest-growing companies in the United States, helped by the ongoing data center boom. It has partnered with some of the biggest companies in the industry like Oracle and Nebius. Recently, it inked a $25 billion deal with Brookfield, one of the biggest private equity companies in the world.
The most recent earnings report showed that its revenue soared by 165% in the second quarter to $1.06 billion as it continued delivering onsite power to data centers. This growth will likely continue in the foreseeable future after the company continues to monetize its projects.
Its gross margins jumped from 26.7% in the second quarter of last year to the current 33.4%, with its profitability accelerating. KR Sridhar, the CEO, said:
“Today, all the major US hyperscalers and over a dozen US neoclouds, AI labs, and colocation data center operators have validated and approved our power solutions for their AI factories. Bloom is now a standard for AI onsite power.”
This growth will likely continue as the data center buildup gains steam. For example, Nvidia has reached a financing deal with OpenAI for a Ohio data center project valued at over $105 billion.
It has also reached a $500 billion deal with several financial companies like BlackRock, BlackStone, Goldman Sachs, and Brookfield to fund data centers. Bloom Energy will be one of the top beneficiaries of these investments.
Yahoo Finance data shows that analysts are upbeat about its growth prospects, especially after the company launched Power Connect, which can reduce its onsite power installation time by over 40%.
The average estimate is that its revenue will by 103% this year to $4.13 billion this year. After that, it will make over $6.77 billion next year. Its earnings-per-share is expected to move from 76 cents to $2.71 this year. It is expected to nearly double next year to $4.89.
The main challenge, however, is that it has become a highly overvalued company, with its forward price-to-earnings on a non-GAAP basis being 74, much higher than the S&P 500 Index average of over 20. As such, it needs to demonstrate strong revenue and profitability growth to justify this valuation.
Bloom Energy stock technical analysis
BE stock chart | Source: TradingView
The daily chart shows that BE stock has been in a strong freefall in the past few months. It has moved from the year-to-date high of $351 to the current $200. It is also in the process of erasing most of the gains it made after releasing its financial results earlier this month.
The stock has dropped below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), a sign that bears remain in control. Therefore, the path of the least resistance for the stock is downwards, with the next key target to watch being at $180. In the long term, however, the stock will bounce back
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